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On the Adoption of AI Construction Scheduling Platforms

Recently, there have been some exciting developments in the field of AI construction scheduling platforms – such as the generative  “optioneering” platform offered by Alice Technologies*: the promise of generative AI technology into the world of construction scheduling. The only thing that is certain is that there will be extraordinary benefits to be realized in its implementation. Yet, it is unclear exactly if and how the technology will gain market share or adoption. Indeed, at present, Alice is the only player of mention in the game, which raises some interesting possibilities. This post will discuss some potential scenarios.
 
To be specific, Alice’s “optioneering” approach is quite different from what one could expect from, say, an AI prompt based platform, though that may change in the future. Alice Technologies does not appear to have any competition, which gives one an idea of how specialized – even esoteric – the approach may seem. The expanse between an AI prompt to “create a schedule for a three-story wood frame home” – simple, and “create a schedule for a particle accelerator plant” – complex – both of which would be dependent on the knowledgebases available, is significant. 
 
But then technology for complex prompt generated schedules will take considerably longer to develop than the approach to optimizing uploaded baseline schedules (Alice also can import and export BIM models): for example, it is arguable that a particle accelerator baseline schedule generated from prompts may never be a reality. The good news is that the industry is already making use of Alice in a substantive way – as case studies show.

 

This is as it should be. However, as project team lay-members become more emboldened, such platforms could theoretically replace the future force of CPM schedulers, or dilute their rank and  purpose. Controls should be established and observed to mitigate this potential phenomenon. Such controls (CPM schedule qualifications) may exist in contract project specifications – as they do for other divisions – yet my research did not turn up any such clauses.
“The pride and hubris of upper management overlords invoking schedule sleight of hand for political purposes and negotiating positions will continue to be an existential threat to reliable scheduling work product. – both AI and traditional”
AI generative construction scheduling platforms are not intended to obviate the need for trained schedulers, and are to the contrary – reliant on their expertise. There is already a shortfall of capable CPM schedulers – the last thing we want to do is discourage growth of these operators. Nor are the platforms intended to replace traditional CPM scheduling – as many countertrends – such as Lean – do: they maintain CPM as the primary source for critical calculation.
 
The collaborative team approach that raises skepticism: my past experience has exemplified that CPM scheduling work product should be controlled by experienced schedulers, in lieu of the prevailing winds of politics: under typical project team hierarchies, it’s often inexperienced executives calling the shots. Team input is welcome, however, it must not encroach on the scheduler’s sovereignty: the control of his work product. This recalls the proverb “too many chefs spoil the broth”: a corruption of the process where more team members of the scheduling team have unfettered input, the likelihood of discontinuity is a strong one. I, for one, would be reluctant to accept that scenario.
 
Alice Technologies offers a rich video introduction to Alice Core, below – also available on their website:

(source https://www.alicetechnologies.com/alice-core)

I have found that the more involvement untrained personnel have in the means and methods of schedule generation, the more dubious the quality of work product. Which is why the notion of a team engineered schedule gives me pause. Before long, untrained personnel and stakeholders could feel empowered by AI to profess expertise and knowledge that is illusory if not non-existent. 
 
And wouldn’t a wholesale change from CPM to AI driven scheduling be jumping the shark of methodology and science that should be a prerequisite to higher levels of scheduling? – or rather: if one cannot master CPM and other scheduling sciences – that’s OK, because AI generative scheduling will fill the void. I’m not sure I am convinced of that: shouldn’t people  be trained in the basics of CPM discipline, show acumen there, before joining the planning team? You need to learn to walk before you can run.
 
The ultimate worst-case scenario of AI construction scheduling platforms is that project teams and stakeholders begin to convince themselves that they are so empowered by AI that traditional schedule operators will depreciate from driver to fifth-wheel. Salaries for schedulers could be adversely impacted, and scheduling operators could eventually be phased out altogether. The very best case scenario is that the strongest CPM operators will take the lead in AI collaboration. Before that happens, they will need to be more appreciated and respected. A lack of understanding of what schedulers do precluded such appreciation and respect.
 
Yet, current AI generative scheduling platforms – such as Alice, are intended to import baseline schedules from third-party platforms, such as P6, optimize those baselines with their platform, and output the new work product in its native form. As long as that is the case, we only need feel a little bit queasy about the threat of AI prompt generated schedule disruption (don’t hold your breath.) Although Alice can be used to generate its own baselines, that doesn’t appear to be its primary focus – of which there are many that far eclipse that initial developmental process.
 
Conversely, if trained and quality schedulers were to spearhead future AI generative scheduling efforts, they would increase their value exponentially. This role should not fall to the recent ‘construction management’ certificate holder, nor the equally clueless operations manager – the right tool in the wrong hands. This is my argument for an increase in CPM schedule training programs, and the incorporation of new AI tools into the curriculum. Before that happens, the technology needs more adoption and competition. It needs to become more affordable and accessible to small and midsize contractors.
 
Collaborative AI construction platforms may make schedule generation more democratic – accessible to lay-people. That could either be an asset or detriment to the craft. Such open source access could lead to laymen – such as stakeholders- taking even more control of the process, inversely affecting the value of the team’s trained scheduler. to the point of obsolescence. In fact, this became a common phenomenon well before AI generative scheduling platforms existed.
 
Truly, AI driven scheduling platforms have a place in the future of the market, and even in the current nascent one. Yet, a timeline for substantive adoption remains questionable, for example, just as BIM was. In the meantime, I am happy to continue my success as a simple Oracle Primavera 6 and Deltek Acumen Fuse operator, as those platforms provide all the insight I need, but I welcome with anticipation the AI-assist future of CPM scheduling.
 
*Alice Technologies did not respond to enquiries.

Archives: 2014 - 2024

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